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ANALYSIS: APPLE'S 'TABLET' DEVICE

WHAT I'M READING NOW

  • Arthur C. Clarke: Childhood's End

    Arthur C. Clarke: Childhood's End
    What amazes me about Clarke is that his writing is unbelievably compact without losing any punch. This is the first book that I have read from him, and it's a great read, surprisingly not overly dated, which is amazing given how much time has passed since he wrote it.

  • Mr. Scott Eyman: The Speed of Sound: Hollywood and the Talkie Revolution, 1926-1930

    Mr. Scott Eyman: The Speed of Sound: Hollywood and the Talkie Revolution, 1926-1930
    Excellent read so far; looks at the rapid transition of the film industry from the silent era to talkies, seeing it not as evolution but as mutation that wiped out its predecessor. Classic disruptive innovation but compelling, engaging story, excellent narrative.

  • Cory Doctorow: Little Brother

    Cory Doctorow: Little Brother
    I very much enjoy Doctorow's writing style. His book, Down and Out in the Magic Kingdom, introduced the concept of the Whuffie, or reputation score. This book deals with security, privacy, hacking, terrorism and the police state. Fictional, fun read.

  • Steven Johnson: The Invention of Air

    Steven Johnson: The Invention of Air
    Really good read on Joseph Priestley, a Zelig-like inventor who is credited with "discovering" oxygen, and being a huge influence on Ben Franklin, Thomas Jefferson, et al. The book is as much an allegory for the value of being cross-domain, the power of nuance/iteration, the leverage afforded by open/social networks and the role of game changing tools in innovation. The book loses steam in the last 1/3.

  • Professor Richard E. Foglesong: Married to the Mouse: Walt Disney World and Orlando

    Professor Richard E. Foglesong: Married to the Mouse: Walt Disney World and Orlando
    This is the first book that I am reading via the Kindle reader on my iPod touch. Great book that shows how Disney maneuvered its way into establishing Disney World as it's own pseudo government, free from the oversight and controls of traditional city, county and state control. Hardly, a slam piece, it shows how centralized planning can lead to a better, more fully conceived product (think: Apple), but also shows the pitfalls for eager cities and states willing to agree to any and all pre-conditions to secure major corporate patronage.

  • Robert B. Cialdini: Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion (Collins Business Essentials)

    Robert B. Cialdini: Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion (Collins Business Essentials)
    One of my recurring interests is better understanding how to influence the actions of others. This book looks at the psychology and underlying trigger mechanisms, such as reciprocity, that drive people to act in the way that you want them to. Relevant to people in sales, marketers and pretty much anyone who wants to turn the gravity of persuasion to their advantage.

  • George Friedman: The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

    George Friedman: The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
    Provocative, enjoyable, compelling read that makes the somewhat counter-intuitive argument that the next 100 years is destined to be the American Age (US), replacing the European Age, which has been the locus of gravity for the past 500+ years, and that our emerging counter-challengers will be Turkey, Mexico, Japan and Poland - not China or India.

  • Jessica Livingston: Founders at Work: Stories of Startups' Early Days

    Jessica Livingston: Founders at Work: Stories of Startups' Early Days
    Not since I read Accidental Empires many years ago have I had so much joy and insight reading about the AHA moments, the blood, sweat and tears, the mistakes, the victories and the lessons learned in the birthing of tech startups like Apple, Lotus, Hotmail and a couple dozen other seminal companies. If you are an entrepreneur or want to know what being one feels like, this is a must read.

  • Ian Williams: Rum: A Social and Sociable History of the Real Spirit of 1776

    Ian Williams: Rum: A Social and Sociable History of the Real Spirit of 1776
    The history of rum, with the exotic spirit as a key character in the founding of the United States. Next book in my Chatopic group, and a fun read so far.

  • Pip Coburn: The Change Function: Why Some Technologies Take Off and Others Crash and Burn

    Pip Coburn: The Change Function: Why Some Technologies Take Off and Others Crash and Burn
    I have been ruminating a lot about the relationship between user experience and user adoption. Coburn is one of my favorite writers/analysts from back in the days of Red Herring, and this book focuses on the user experience/user-centered approach to solutions thinking. Personally, Inmates are Running the Asylum is a better book.

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Comments

John "Z-Bo" Zabroski

Isn't vSocial a lot more like a TV than a water cooler? Really, every user on vSocial basically has a TV-watching diary.

Lately, what I've been trying to use vSocial/youtube/Video.Google for is "in-yer-face" type moments after a big sporting event. After USC lost, I made sure a lot of my Trojan friends knew ESPN thought they were one of the greatest teams in history by providing them video clips of Mary May saying how great USC was. I guess that is sort of a water cooler type moment.

Seriously for a second, though. I am sure there is already a successful business person who has thought deeply on how to romanticize various aspects of what you are talking about with metaphors. I think Gerry McGovern has given some speeches on multimedia content on the web. For a first iteration, the water cooler isn't so bad and maybe through more iterations the water cooler will come together as a solid metaphor.

Also, on wanting more "evangelical customers," I knew J.C. was behind vSocial somehow. Who is the person whose job it is to bless all these water coolers? I guess that job won't be decided until 2.0 :)

Mark Sigal

Hi John,

I think the virtual water cooler is essentially intended to capture the dual role of viewing and cultivating short conversations.

Watching TV is such a solitary process, whereas the sheer viralness of services like vSocial suggest a very social, infectious type of entity.

Who is JC?

Mark

John "Z-Bo" Zabroski

JC is an abbreviation for Jesus Christ. You said "evangelical customers," ergo JC. :)

Watching TV is a solitary process, but so is watching a vSocial/Youtube/Video.Google clip. I only exit my state of solitude after the clip is finished playing. It just so happens that the clips being played are generally very short so my time spent in solitude is shorter.

On the other hand, I usually multi-task while watching TV (ironing my clothes while watching the Islanders game). Shorter clips prevent me from multi-tasking while watching video.

I am not saying "virtual water cooler" is a bad metaphor for an investment thesis, but it's important to test to see how well you can defend a metaphor you are writing about. It helps clear up the writing process for the next revision. Through the iteration process, you might discover a simple metaphor may not be the best interactive storytelling technique... and some heavy copywriting instead might be necessary.

When I try to think of why something is important in terms of technology: I read an article titled "The Relationship Revolution" over again (this article basically explains why the future was meant to evolve the way it did).

Then I read Jamie Zawinski's Feb 2005 thoughts on why Nat Friedman's Novell team should make Hula a "home edition" calendar program instead of a "enterprise edition" calendar program. http://www.jwz.org/doc/groupware.html (Hula has the potential to be a gmail killer if done right).

Michael Martine

Excellent post. You nailed a lot of the dynamics of all this. The potential mindshare gains are tremendous. The opportunities for independent artists are phenomenal right now, because large media companies don't have their footing yet in this new landscape.

I will take slight issue with the idea that watching video is solitary. Granted, it probably is solitary for most people, but people regularly call their buddies over to the screen to "check this out!" That's totally social. Sure, you can forward links, etc., but people like the camaraderie of watching something together.

Just don't let the boss catch you.

Jeff

Like I always say.. throw away your TV, because a mass global market for media is moving online, they want their entertainment/news presented to them in a new way. vSocial is probably the best thing to happen for media bloggers.

esteban

How do sites like youtube and vsocial that are flooded with copyrighted content, deal with any possible ramnification from the networks? The legality behind all this content will undoubtedly raise some eyebrows as itunes commercializes much of the content and these services will undoubtedly face some backlash. b/c in the eyes of network execs, they are losing money from having these videos on youtube. Take away this copywritten material and youtube and all the similar sites are dead in the water (or at least their growth will dramatically decrease)... One good site with good content is archive.org and www.youare.tv

Mark Sigal

Sorry for the delayed responses to these comments.

Michael, thanks for your feedback. Part of my point is that via video clip sharing, watching video inherently becomes less solitary so I think that we are on the same page.

Jeff, as always, appreciate your engagement. I really believe that what you are doing with TayTV is a tiny fractal that will grow into a big mountain, and provide lots of others the pattern recognition needed to become self-programmers.

Esteban, all fair questions, and can only say that this market is emerging in real time. Netscape doesn't get broadly assailed for caching web page summaries, pictures and other sites online content since the value proposition is that those folks (on the whole) want to be found. Bloggers inherently "sample" commercial news sites and bloggers content in creating their posts, and no one screams. Again, to speak to the example of a user uploading a Family Guy clip, referenced in the blog, when I wrote the post on the 17th, the cited clip had been viewed 1.7M times. In the twelve days since, it has been viewed an ADDITIONAL 3 million times. That's a lot of target viewers of Family Guy talking about the show that otherwise might not.

Part of my thesis is that media can't "game" this stuff by doling out pre-defined bits in a walled garden on a metered basis if conversational marketing is their goal. They can provide the kindling wood and the match, but users have to do the lighting and provide the wind if it is too spread.

Still, the market is early and the rules are being defined. As amazing as it is to me the growth numbers, probably less than 3% even know that the space exists.

guile

wunderkind.. i love that word..

Startups.in

Really very well written.
BTW, the link you provide @ Om's blog is incorrect. It points to:
"videoclipsvir.html".

Regards,
Bandi

Mark Sigal

Thanks, Bandi. The link issue was a problem with the blogging software on Om's end. When I posted the comment it truncated the link. I re-posted the link in a follow on comment and think that it worked but forget now.

Mark

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